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Barnhill, Jura. June 2015. (Thanks to the kindness of the Fletcher family).

Hanging in the Balance

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If the exit poll prediction of a hung parliament (with no one party having an overall majority by reaching the 326 Westminster seats required for a bare working majority) is correct will there be time for an organised coalition government to be composed in time for the anticipated beginning of Brexit negotiations on 19th or 20th June?

Forecasts projecting early regional declarations to a national picture do suggest a working majority may yet be possible for the Conservative party but there are so many variables (not least fuelled by a seemingly high turnout) that the governance of the UK may yet be hanging in the balance.

If the Conservative party majority is not strengthened as anticipated will that impact on the UK's negotiating position with the EU? Probably not vis-à-vis the EU though the internal party dynamic will likely be of real relevance.

The 'others' - Independents, Plaid Cymru, Social Democratic and Labour Party, Ulster Unionist party, Green party and UKIP - may be able to wield significant leverage depending on their own presence in Westminster when the dust settles.

Might there be scope for a 'progressive alliance'/'coalition of chaos' (the appropriate label depending on your perspective)?

Curiously, the Green party vote is not reflecting the recent picture in some local authority voting patterns in early declarations in NE England and Swindon North.

A very interesting picture is developing.

Permalink 4 comments (latest comment by Simon Reed, Friday, 9 Jun 2017, 06:48)
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