Fig.1 The Battle for Open - Martin Weller. Available free to download
Full of the latest thinking and facts on open learning with special attention paid to MOOCs. Of most interest will be the work of Katy Jordan on retention rates. Here various papers are easy to find.
Enrich your knowledge on where learning is going.
Fig.2. From The Battle for Open. p102 Attrition rates at a glance
Here are the figures to have at your fingertips:
- The average (median) sign up is 43,000 of whom 6.5% complete - the range is from 4,500 to 226,652.
- Completion rates correlate to course length, the shorter the more complete. Though the variance is from 0.9% to 36.1% with a median of 6.5%. Completion rates of 5% are typical.
- 50% of those who enroll become active students. This is vital to recognise. All sign-up figures should be halved to give a working student population.
- Completion rates as a percentage of those who are active range from 1.4% to 50.1% with a median of 9.8%.
- The caveat I would give is that completion rates are too generous, you only have to do 50% of the course to qualify, so these figure could possibly be halved again. For me, completion means someone who takes part from beginning to end.
- 45% of those who sign up never turn up or do anything. By the end of week two we are down to 35%. And by the end of week 3 or 4 it is plateauing near 10%.
Jordan, K 2013, Hill 2013 MOOC completion rates. Initial trends in enrolment and completion of massive open online courses. http://oro.open.ac.uk/39592/
Weller, M. 2014. The Battle for Open: How openness won and why it doesn't feel like victory. London: Ubiquity Press. DOI: http://dx/doi.org//10.5334/bam