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Helene Viel

What risks may appear in the first line in 2024? The Domino Game.

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Edited by Helene Viel, Tuesday, 16 Jan 2024, 17:16

Forgive me 😇 if I can't read the future in a crystal ball🔮Nothing is sure and definitive.

The world 🗺️ is constantly changing. In democracies, political and economic strategies are presented but they are not applied at every level as the authors want. They are discussed, interpreted, amended, and excluded sometimes. So, changes are not always the ones announced a few months ago.

We will live several general elections such as Pakistani, Finland, Indonesia, USA, Azerbaijan, Iran, Portugal, Russia, India, and South Africa. More than half the world goes to the polls this year. Even if we guess who will win in several countries such as Iran, Russia, and the Republican Party Primary in the USA, the most important is what the next step is. What is the political strategy orientation of South Africa, Iran, and Russia for the next few years? 

Every political strategy has repercussions on international and local political, economic, and commercial movements. Radicalism attracts other radicalisms. Will citizens choose a demagogue? Demagogues attract demagogues. We are in an international domino game. One crisis leads to another one. If a country chooses a far-right or far-left candidate, other countries will react. Antisemitism and racism increase. This is not good for a global balanced future.

There is another problem. An important part of the population follows the news via social media. This is very dangerous because there is no analysis, nothing is checked. False news are spread. Readers do not check anything and believe what they read. As a former European Correspondent for Shephard Press - UV Magazine and an IISS member, I am shocked to see that newspapers are less read.


What’s ahead in 2024: calendar of the year | World news | The Guardian

Key elections in Africa in 2024 - Oxford Economics

Africa 2024 elections: Stability at stake? – DW – 01/03/2024

More than half the world goes to the polls in 2024. South Africa is one to watch : NPR

The International Institute for Strategic Studies (iiss.org)

These are the biggest global risks we face in 2024 and beyond | World Economic Forum (weforum.org)

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