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Freedom

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Edited by Martin Cadwell, Saturday 20 June 2026 at 17:21

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Cadwell NOT Caldwell

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Choose gambling and parental oppression

[9 minute read ] 

Freedom

Economists find it difficult to accurately map how people go about their lives; whether they will or won't spend money or invest resources; by resources, I, of course, mean, time; money; support from relationships; and opportunities (anything that could be used by an individual in a fashion to either maintain or improve their existence).

Economists have methods to map out and understand human behaviour, yet they can never be confident that people will  just do as they are predicted to do. However, economists do know some things.

People get stuck on one way of looking at a problem and only accept information to support their view. All other information gets ignored.

https://www.simplypsychology.org/framing-effect.html

Recently, I came across a young person on the 'Student Room' web site, who professed to having a problem and was seeking advice. It seemed the problem that this student thought they had was a financial one, but only by looking at two avenues to finance their university studies. The student has some capital (an undisclosed amount) and has eyed a loan from Student Finance for England (SFE). The dilemma, from the student's point of view seems different to my, rather different, point of view.

This angst-ridden student felt that they were 'ghosted' because they did not get replies from potential employers when they applied for jobs. I can't help but think that this student fails to recognise that they are never going to be the only one to apply for a single position, without being exceptional in their field and  finding a role for which the potential employer has created such parameters on the position that the exceptional candidate is the only one that could possibly believe they may have any chance of success in their application for the position.

This student seems to be unable to consider any potential employer's available resources. Of course, all business people crave in-depth information on their competitors and their industry market; that is a given. I mean, when we apply for a job, many of us have an expectation that there is someone whose sole job is to read CVs and cover letters, and then personally respond to every applicant with detailed feedback on why they have not got the job. When it doesn't happen, some people may feel as though they have been dismissed, or purposely diminished, or indeed, 'ghosted'. And why not? Leaving school and entering the job world is a huge transition in thinking. There is, to my knowledge, no interim staging post; a place where school-leavers are disenfranchised of their belief that they will get coherent and encouraging responses from a leader (teacher) on a individual basis, after they leave school.

This all fits in with, People get stuck on one way of looking at a problem and only accept information to support their view. (above); but only loosely. It would seem that the problem the school-leaver faces is not being able to get a job, and not knowing why. But, I suggest that the true problem is something else. School children today have an expectation of 'to and fro' conversation that is made up of snippets of information passed over a long period of time, with each piece complimenting or negating all previous information. It is the nature of schooling that advice changes as the student grows both in personality and capability. All this comes to a sudden stop when they leave school and all that is left are their friends who perpetuate the dribble of information to which they are accustomed. So, many school-leavers only accept information of a particular style (slow over a long period with immediate gratification thrown in for good measure).

The second part of the definition I wrote in my scrapbook for 'Framing Bias' is: [they] only accept information to support their view. All other information gets ignored. 'That' needs no further explanation, I suggest.

Back to the dilemma the student on the 'Student Room' website has:

The parents are pressuring their child to use a Child Trust Fund to pay for British Citizenship; hopefully for the application of citizenship! This, in my mind, presents a whole web of problems, not least is that the almost-adult (still attending school) would potentially wipe out a capital that would, I suspect, be extremely difficult to replace without good work prospects; and we know that is no guarantee, even if they are able to shed off the reliance on teacher-pupil type transactions to which they are accustomed.

How does this child not have British citizenship? It seems obvious that the parents never applied for it on their behalf - perhaps immigrants cannot make a blanket application for their family, and so immigrant children have to make the application after they reach legal maturity. (Later, I noticed that there is a lower fee for children to make an application for British citizenship, so the parents could have made an application for the troubled student, but seemingly didn't. All sorts of questions can be mounted as to why this might be. But this is not about immigrants and their legal status, outside of the expressed problem at hand. (coercion, debt, capital, and education)

I can't remember what the criteria are for eligibility for a SFE loan. I think it wouldn't be a bad guess to believe that you need to live in England, and not in Scotland or Wales; you have to be legally responsible for the debt; and crucially, there must be some expectation that the loan will be paid back. This latter part probably means that you can be legally chased across the world by the British Government, and a garnishee order can be legally placed on earnings. In other words, without beating about the bush, you have to have British Citizenship. 'Ding' changes to 'Dunk' as the bell suddenly cracks.

Not to put too fine a point on it, applying for British Citizenship solely to reap a financial gain is an extremely sensitive area for a lot of people. SFE loans, by accruing interest and being only repayable when a pay threshold is reached, could mean acquiring many years of work experience before someone achieves a suitable financial income to make even very small repayments.

To re-iterate - This is not about immigrants. That is only a single channel of perceiving this issue; and for many people, it might be the first thing that comes to mind; quite simply because there is a tendency in many of us to follow the latter part of 'Framing Bias' in that many people tend to ignore evidence or information that doesn't fit with their initial evaluation.

The troubled student on the 'Student Room' website probably believes they have a problem with their demanding parents. A reply by another student, to the framed question, alluded to the expectation that SFE has for parents to continue to fund their offspring while they study at university; it went along the lines of eligibility for a maintenance loan. I have no idea how that works, because I am an Open University student with no accommodation to pay for, other than my own home.

Paraphrasing the troubled student: 'I can't get a job, so I would, if I don't give my parents the full SFE loan and they pay for my phone bill and give me some food money, only have £17 [per week or month]' (either way it is not a great amount). The dilemma is whether to give up a financial cushion in the form of capital; the 'Child Trust Fund' is spent on British Citizenship, or seemingly give up the ongoing parental support. Yeah, I know, the information given was not really clear, but what can you expect from a confused person with practically no experience of money matters, adult personal relationships, and in possession of only poor information?

It seems to be an opportunity cost problem.

Putting the confusion and 'bobbling' aside. There is a practical solution, I feel, to the student's dilemma. But we have to approach the problem in a different way. Why can't the student get a job?

Lack of appropriate experience in the industry

Personality and Character issues

Poor education

General lack of knowledge

-isms

But here is where it gets tricky.

The 'Prospect Theory' holds that individuals are more influenced by the possibility of a loss than the prospect of an equivalent gain. (Tversky & Kahneman, 1981). I didn't reference this in my scrapbook, but it is likely I got it from 'Simply Psychology'. I have the book, but here is a web address:

https://www.simplypsychology.org/framing-effect.html (accessed 20 June 2026)

Again, I am coming from the angle of looking at lost opportunities. If the student spends their trust fund on British citizenship, which I think costs around £1,839 for naturalisation (https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/fees-for-citizenship-applications/fees-for-citizenship-applications-and-the-right-of-abode-from-6-april-2018) then that same money cannot be spent on education that would boost the student's desirability as a prospective employee and  thereby ease later undergraduate study in the same field. The gain from appropriate education is a rise in financially rewarding prospects in the short-term, and a further rise in financially rewarding prospects from gaining a better degree, through applying prior knowledge. This, however, is not guaranteed. It is gambling. Losing £1,839 for naturalisation is guaranteed; so what needs to be done to minimise the maximum loss? (minimax)

Applying for British Citizenship, and getting it, with the £1,839 for naturalisation, means that there is a clearly advantageous return; not least the prospect of being eligible for a government-funded loan for education. However, there is a problem that may not seem obvious, unless we are still looking at the problem from an opportunity cost angle. By going to university for three years and not working, valuable opportunities for gaining work experience are lost. Often, graduates cannot get the job they wanted, the one they hoped a degree would assist them into, and they find themselves competing for the same low-paid job as someone with three years work experience, who may not have attended university. 

While most of us, who can trace our British ancestry back to ten or twenty generations ago, would struggle with some of the British History and British Culture questions that are set for immigrants seeking British Citizenship, it really is a question of education. Everybody, including me, I strongly suspect, if I had to apply for British Citizenship, needs to learn about Britain to pass the tests; so inevitably, time, as a resource, is spent in one area, and the same time cannot be spent studying something different or elsewhere. No worries! At least failed job applicants can be assured of benefits if they have British Citizenship. It seems then, that the safe bet, using a Child Trust Fund to pay for naturalisation, really is, just taking the obvious route of positioning oneself above a safety net; a safety net that catches, yet does not propel.

Even with a vast handful of qualifications, someone may still not be able to get a job. I had my CV assessed a few years back by a professional trainer and recruiter (Reed Recruitment). I had already discovered 'Applicant Tracking Software' is used to 'read' CVs, and I had become aware of the U.S.A Department of Homeland Security's 'Automated Targeting System' which is designed to assess suitability for ingress into the United States of America; so I arrived at my appointment with my CV, fairly confident that it was perfect; after all, there were no lines separating either paragraphs or areas of interest.

       'We need to remove all the full-stops.' I was told by the Reed trainer.

My two-page CV, less than three pages, but still more than one, is not long enough to list all my qualifications and have enough room to explain the job roles and responsibilities I have had. Even if everything is fine, employers may look at my social media interaction, and make a decision based solely on my projected personality. This, is after getting past the automated CV checks that resulted in a suggestion that a real person actually reads my CV. Whether all of a two page CV gets read is anyone's guess.

My advice to the distressed student in the 'Student Room' website was 'not to apply for British Citizenship with the sole intention of becoming eligible for accruing a significant and crippling SFE debt that is only repayable once a pay threshold is reached'. Using capital to accrue debt for education just makes no sense to me. The same amount of money, £1,839, if spent on a course through 'Reed Courses' or a whole bunch of other places, should result in a valid and recognised qualification, that should significantly boost a job applicant's desirability, especially at a young age. 

'AAT Level 3 Diploma in Accounting with Work Experience' £510, not including a £96 exam booking fee, or registration fee with AAT, offered by KBM Training. A six month course.

'Microsoft Office Skills (Microsoft Excel, Word, PowerPoint) Administration & Office Skills' 33.5 hrs self-paced, £15 (no recognised qualification, but still a good addition to an empty CV)

With gainful employment at age 19, the pressure that parents might bear on the decisions a young adult may be faced with, certainly with the example I have exposed, are hugely dissipated.

I may not have made it clear, but the parents of the confused and distressed student on the 'Student Room' website, seem to be attempting to alleviate, or offset, some of the cost of the accommodation the student would need, in order to study away from home, by having the whole SFE loan handed to them (the parents), and then determining how much to give to the student. Who really wants that  kind of oppression from their parents? (I have also read the woes of an autistic student who is not trusted to function well by herself, in the 'Student Room'). Can we really expect that someone with a degree but no valid practice on managing one's own resources would do well in the harsh world of work-hardened adults? I suggest, these parents may be inadvertently smothering the future welfare of their own genes. This flies in the face of 'altruism' which many people believe exists, only towards members of the same family.

As long as the student has a right to work in the UK, I suggest finding work and sticking to it, should be the first priority, and any capital should be spent on action that has the best chance of rapidly replacing the same capital; the reason for this is quite simply, not to allow education be a bar to opportunities. Well, perhaps, not let the pursuit of further or higher education be a bar to opportunity.

Alternatively, spending £1,839 on the hope of British naturalisation would practically guarantee a £4088 SFE loan for a single Open University module. I suppose Essex University online modules cost a similar amount; or £7,335 for two modules per year, to complete a degree in three years.

What we may not be considering is that by gaining qualifications online, there is no need to apply for a maintenance loan if the student stays at home with their parents. Importantly, the total loan is lower, and the accrued interest is less impactful.

The student on the 'Student Room' website seems to see their problem as only being solved by attending a brick University, and an attendant (though distracting) lack of money, which gambling on an imagined future by getting a degree will supposedly eradicate. The real problem is actually, 'How do I get a job?' tomorrow, instead of in three years time. In economics, this is similar to being offered £1 today or waiting for £10 in a years time. It is 'Discounted Utility'. It is calculated as the present discounted value of future utility. However, if the student is stuck in thinking the 'utility' of £1 today is ten times less than £10 in a years time, they are only considering money in a bank and not opportunity. Admittedly, a single pound doesn't give much scope for opportunity, but if it is scaled up, the possibilities are endless. 'How do I get a job in three years time?' is likely to be the wrong direction to take. It certainly requires a quite linear form of convergent thinking, in that one has to believe there is a valuable future available to oneself and everything understood today will be the same in the future. 

       'I have a good job. I will get a mortgage and repay it over twenty-five years, and in twenty-five years I will be free of debt.' Ha ha!

An aside:

I was once denied a £1,000 bank loan, even though I was self-employed with a lot of money going through my bank account (about £190,000 per year), because I transferred £5 per month to a William Hill betting account. I explained that the William Hill account was used for a weekly £1 stake in the Irish Lottery, which has better odds than the English Lottery; (13 million to 1 chance of winning the English Lottery at the time, and 11 million to 1 chance of winning the Irish Lottery. My bank balance was over £14,000 at the time of the loan request. The loan was for work equipment.

       'You're a gambler!' I was told.

       'So are you!' I replied.

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Complex and Complicated

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Edited by Martin Cadwell, Thursday 18 June 2026 at 08:28

All my posts: https://learn1.open.ac.uk/mod/oublog/view.php?u=zw219551

or search for 'martin cadwell -caldwell' Take note of the position of the minus sign to eliminate caldwell returns or search for 'martin cadwell blog' in your browser.

I am not on YouTube or social media

Cadwell NOT Caldwell

silhouette of a female face in profile

Blowing ponds uphill

[4 minute read ] 

Complex and Complicated

'A well-constructed Indian man, in India, when asked, 'Which English accent sounds funny or weird?' answered, 'Oh, I think those who speak Russian or French!''

Like many people, I write stuff in scrapbooks and little pads of paper, the latter of which live in my coat pockets. The particular words, in the phrases above, are not familiar to me; they are not how I would write that joke, if it is a joke, so I must have come across it somewhere and I thought it should be recorded. Hence, it is not my own creation. It is not funny to me; it is more interesting to me that the Indian man had a completely different slant on the question to, I suspect, the questioner. I suppose the questioner had different UK regional accents in mind. That, however, is how only British natives and people who do not have English as a national language would take the question. You know, Europeans, for example, who happen to be hear British people a lot. English, however, is one of the national languages of India.

English speakers in the U.S.A., Canada, and Australia may understand that the questioner means which 'British' accent is funny or weird, even if the questioner actually meant to exclude Scotland, and Wales from the implied choice.

Complex, isn't it? Or, is it complicated?

From: The British Language School, 'Understanding Complicated and Complex'. https://thebritishlanguageschool.com/complicated-or-complex/

'Complicated problems consist of many interrelated parts, which experts can resolve through analysis and expertise. They are often linear, meaning that causality can be traced. In contrast, complex problems involve unpredictable variables and interactions, requiring adaptive thinking. Complex situations include factors that can change over time, adding to their unpredictability.'

From the same scrapbook: 'Those in education are programmed to pick up more information - They don't close their eyes'. Now, that does sound like I wrote that, because it is pregnant with opportunities to expand on an idea. 

I think I heard Tim Vine, the one-liner, British comedian say, 'I remember the first time I saw a universal remote control. I thought, well, this changes everything.' (It might have been Milton Jones who said that).

I think, you have to be able to let your mind spin a bit, and allow nonsense to prevail for a moment, to get that joke.

Sometimes, I feel like a passenger in my own life. Recently, though, I have decided to take a little more care of what information enters my head and what I do with it. I get a little freaked when I perceive that someone is attempting to persuade me that their idea is a good one. 

       'We recommend that you have these Envirovent extractor fans fitted in your kitchen and bathroom. They run continually, checking the air for high humidity, and when the interior humidity reaches 60% or more they come on much stronger and vent the humidity outside.'

All well and good, except that the outside humidity in the region I live in is rarely below 60%; I would never be able to open a window, even on Summer evenings to cool the interior air, without two 25 Watt fans running full tilt. I explained to the fool that my electricity unit price (kiloWatt) is 25 pence. I suggested that the two fans would hardly ever be not venting humid air and offered to him that fitting the two fans would likely cost me £36 per year each, if they ran for 16 hours a day, bearing in mind, that especially in Summer, all my windows are usually open in the early morning to allow the cool (and very humid) air in. Outside humidity today at 05:15 a.m. was 90% and with the windows closed overnight, the interior humidity was 70%. (24 hours a day would cost me £54.75 for each Envirovent fan to run - a total of £109.50 added to my electric bill per year, at current prices). Incidentally, that is roughly the same amount I pay for an average full months electric. This means my electric bill would rise by 8% or more. Outrage across the nation! A dehumidifier and a couple of solar panels should cost less than £700 and the warm interior air won't be sucked out in those cold Winter months!

I am tickled that we use the French word 'vent' which means 'wind' in French. If we eradicated all French words from our language, such as the French removed English words from their language, we would have to say, 'windilation' instead of 'ventilation'. 

Taking charge of what affects me has included seeking specific medication for my PTSD. I recently had an appointment with a mental health team, who were not keen on giving me chemicals and were much more aligned to talk-therapy in its various forms. I was amused when I was asked, still at the triage stage, about conversations I had, had, that I found interesting or satisfying. I told them I once had a conversation with a woman outside Aldi, with a high IQ, which probably matched my own.

       'How many times have you had a conversation like that?'

       'Once only in my whole life. We really got on so well, and just understood one another. She even let her ice-lollies, which she had just bought from Aldi, completely melt; they returned to liquid, she was so loathe to leave; as was I.' I answered.

I can't help thinking that they, the two triage mental health nurses, had come across a problem. Talk therapy requires, I think, a rapport to be built, and the patient should be entirely comfortable, in order for the patient to be able to trust the listener, and so be able to visit memories which make them feel vulnerable. They, the triage nurses, if they are at all sensible, would need to find someone with an IQ close to my own. Only 3% of the Global North have an IQ that matches or exceeds mine. Good luck with that, then! Oh, if only people would just listen. I can't help thinking I am ahead of them, and medication is really only the most likely solution. I doubt that they will catch on. That is the bane of having a high IQ and not being in the right environment for it to be socially, financially, or otherwise useful to civilisation.

Also in my scrapbook: Seiche Event - from Oceanography

A seiche is when strong winds really rapidly changes the height of water - able to move an entire pond uphill. When the strong wind diminishes, the body of water returns back to its previously level position.

Pressing a point in order to bring about change, or have a position wherein one has, at least some, control in one's life, requires consistent and focused effort. Falter, get tired, confused, or hesitate, and the original drive and energy becomes only a seiche event. 

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