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Leon Spence

Politicians need to be honest. That is what voters want.

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The Times reports today that chancellor Rachel Reeves will, in the run up to the budget, seek to 'use Brexit blame game to defend budget tax rises' and I have to say that this highlights what is wrong with our political class.

Rachel Reeves Times article

The Chancellor was elected as MP for Leeds West and Pudsey in 2010. She was a Member of Parliament throughout the run up to the EU referendum campaign and the interminably long Brexit process itself. She was there and she consistently voted for Remain and for continued alignment with the European Union. There is nothing whatsoever that is wrong with that, she is a veteran MP with established views.

So it is particularly disappointing to read in The Times that "Reeves is attempting to blame the way in which Brexit was implemented under Boris Johnson's deal rather than Brexit itself. The chancellor is treading a delicate line as she tries to avoid the impression that she is blaming voters."

The Times goes on to say "There is evidence that the Bank of England and the OBR are prepared to support the government's narrative."

The point is this. There is an increasing body of evidence that shows Brexit has been damaging to our economy. In this the voters did get it wrong. The voters are not always right.

But instead of a politician of principle saying this clearly, Ms Reeves chooses to dance on the head of a pin.

The chancellor's popularity ratings are already monumentally bad and they are unlikely to turn round.

She would have far greater credibility with those who agree with her for being honest in who is to blame on an issue like this and to point out that she was right all along. It might not make her position any more secure but it would show she is a politician of principle.

And that is the problem with our current political class. There is too much triangulation of competing views, rather than honestly held ones. And it is the major reason why voters are being successively lured by Nigel Farage, they believe - right or wrong - he will tell them exactly what he thinks.

On that the voters may be right.

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Leon Spence

The Bad Boys of Brexit by Arron Banks

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In the past week I've been reading 'The Bad Boys of Brexit: Tales of mischief, mayhem & guerrilla warfare in the EU referendum campaign' by Arron Banks, it's a fascinating book for so many reasons.

Firstly the book is something of a vanity project rushed out by Banks (and his ghostwriter Isabel Oakeshott) in the months following the referendum, but this means (albeit with a touch of bravado) it is contemporaneous , drawn from sources and doesn't have time to alter facts with through an historical looking glass. With that caveat in mind it has become a useful historical document.

Mr Banks was the founder of the influential Leave.EU campaign that sought (and failed to gain) designation as the official Leave campaign vehicle during the referendum, previously he had given a £1 million donation to UKIP after William Hague claimed not to know who he was. He's that sort of figure, some may claim petty, others proud and passionate.

Banks' book is now, a decade later, an historical document that clearly show an understanding of people and politics that far outstripped that of many political operatives and commentators. He understood a demographic group that was motivated to vote for Brexit, subequently for a Boris Johnson government, and every indictator points to the rise of Reform UK by 2029. With this in mind Banks' words were prescient.

For all of the tales of high-jinks in the book Mr Banks' epilgoue is wise: "Individuals like Trump and Farage have given a voice to people who feel ignored by the metropolitan class, with its group-think love of free markets and left-liberal values... We have only seen the beginning and we can only guess at how outsider poltics is going to end up revolutionising our country."

Mr Banks also astutely sums up Nigel Farage saying "For all the apparent bravura, he can be quite risk-averse."

For opponents of Reform UK, and I don't automatically count myself as one (although I am not a supporter either), this is worrying. It shows Mr Farage is politically considerate and astute, but it shows that there are those behind him who understand data, human emotion and take risks accordingly.

Mr Banks' book may yet become an important historic text.

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Leon Spence

There's always someone crazier for whom leaving the ECHR isn't the answer

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Edited by Leon Spence, Tuesday 15 October 2024 at 09:19

As a Conservative party member, Association Chairman and member of the National Conservative Convention I've always believed there is nothing more important than the rule of law. If, as an increasingly global society, we don't have a set of rules to abide by, then what do we become?

It's for that reason I warmly welcome the words of Labour's new attorney-general, Lord Hermer KC who has called on the new government to take "immediate steps to restore the UK's reputation by abiding by international conventions, courts and championing international institutions."

There has been a tendency amongst some in Britain in recent years to distance ourselves away from the supranational bodies that for the most part sprang out of the global wars of the first half of the twentieth century, because we don't like some of the decisions they arrive at. "We want our sovereignty." "We want to take back control from these shady, non accountable organisations."

For some that step away from international cooperation came with Brexit, for others the mad conspiracy theories about both our path into and out of the pandemic. But the truth is that each step away from international working and towards national insularity will never be enough for the subscribers of isolationism.

With the Conservative leadership election underway we hear - from one of the candidates at least - that the answer to 'stopping the small boats' is leaving the European Convention on Human Rights.

Of course it won't be. Instead we will take another step away from the international norm - and internationally agreed human rights - to being at risk of becoming a petty outlier.

And when leaving the ECHR doesn't happen, what then?

There will always be someone a little more extreme, and with an audience of similarly desperate like-minded folk, to say this time its the Commonwealth, the IMF, NATO, or maybe the United Nations.  

For the most part, for the better part of a century, supranational bodies have been drivers of peace, security and economic growth around the world.

With cooperation comes a degree of giving up ones sovereignty, it's the price that we pay for the benefits we receive.

And, no matter what a Tory leadership contender says to you, we will never have sovereignty unless we leave every one of those supranational bodies because there will always be decisions we don't like, and leaving will always be the answer given to those out of step with the complexities of reality.

We've seen the difficulties that leaving just one of those bodies has brought, why would we think leaving more would make things better?

Instead it will leave Britain alone and isolated, away from international partnership. 

Thank heavens, at least when it comes to the Government's law officers we appear to have a grown up in charge.

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