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Leon Spence

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My son has recently started a degree in politics and international relations at a prestigious university and recently had a seminar about the decline of western economies (and, potentially, democracies) in an increasingly interconnected world.

Driving him back to university after a weekend back home he asked me 'how do we stop the decline?'

It's a question that I have given a great deal of thought to in recent years and one where I think there is an answer. And the answer is fairly simple.

We have to accept the world that we live in and our place in it.

For a period of around one hundred years there is a strong argument that Britain was the world's leading nation. It was a nation boosted by the growth of empire but, more importantly, as the birthplace of the industrial revolution.

That period came to an end in the first half of the twentieth century as other nations competed with us industrially and our imperial dominions, one by one broke away. In terms of population, productivity and natural resources other nations have caught and overtaken us.

At the same time, and Britain isn't alone in this, we have become addicted to higher welfare standards, material possessions and paid holidays. So much so that that the cost of living for all has increased beyond recognition and the cost of paying for those who are not economically productive has become extortionate for those who are.  The situation is so dire that millions of younger people can no longer afford their own homes or their own children.

So the first part of the answer is simple. We must face reality.

Coincidentally, this morning's Times reports on a story about McVitie's Club biscuits

If you are of a certain age in the past McVitie's  would advertise their product using the tagline 'If you like a lot of chocolate on your biscuit, join our club.'

Club biscuit

The problem is McVitie's can no longer claim their Club biscuits contain chocolate, because they don't.

The price of cocoa has increased so much that the company's formulation for their confectionary contains more palm oil and shea oil than cocoa solids and, as such, the most that they can legally be called in 'chocolate flavoured'.

In the scheme of things it is a minor issue but it is a perfect illustration of where we are in the world.

We used to have chocolate biscuits but external pressures mean that realistically we no longer can. The price of ingredients is more than we would be prepared to pay in order to make their production profitable.

So, instead of being honest and saying 'if you like a lot of palm oil and shea oil on your biscuit, join our club', manufacturers will come up with some meaningless compromise that no one believes, but enough are prepared to suspend their disbelief to allow things to muddle on.

The same is true of Britain.

We know our living standards are unaffordable, we know that other parts of the world are overtaking us.

But instead of admitting that and strategising for a different future (like Jeremy Hunt's "Can we be great again" so excellently does), enough of us listen to politicians that offer us a type of 'chocolately flavour' instead of the reality of changing our diet.

Until we realise that the inevitable conclusion is that we will end up with more and more palm oil that at some point the chocolate will no longer be recognisable we will continue down the same route. At which point it will become impossible to catch those who can actually afford the chocolate.

We can only start to address the wider issue once we acknowledge what it is.

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Leon Spence

Can Nigel Farage cope with alpha males?

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Yesterday, I blogged about reading the 2015 book by Owen Bennett, 'Following Farage', a light hearted but nevertheless insightful account of Mr Farage's first political vehicle, UKIP.

The thing that has continually struck me whilst reading the book is that I remember almost all of the incidents recounted, and the people involved (I've worked in politics for a long time), but with the exception of Mr Farage and a financial backer, Arron Banks, none are now involved with the upper echelons of Reform UK.

Whilst donors such as Stuart Wheeler have sadly died others have disappeared, or have been got rid of in a political sense.

Douglas Carswell, Annabelle Fuller, Paul Nuttall, Suzanne Evans, Alan Sked, Winston McKenzie, Godfrey Bloom and Janice Atkinson. All have left the limelight.

One theory the keeps recurring is that Mr Farage cannot cope with big personalities, or as Godfrey Bloom describes them in his own inimitable way 'alpha males'.

The late Stuart Wheeler says of Ms Atkinson's dispatch from the party in an expenses scandal "That killed her leadership chances and I think he (Farage) did it quite deliberately. He either panicked, which would be, with his track record, quite possible, or he deliberately destroyed her carrer."

It is an allegation, or a common thread, that has followed Mr Farage through to the present day. It is an observation levelled by Ben Habib and Rupert Lowe amongst others.

Mr Farage has developed a clear and admirable focus on securing highest office, and his party are showing a remarkable amount of discipline. If Reform UK attains it with Mr Farage as Prime Minister, the real question will be how he manages 'alpha males and females' who have secured their own electoral mandates and occupy offices of state?

Based on past behaviour he may not be able to do so.

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Leon Spence

Enoch Powell and Robert Jenrick: the parallels

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Edited by Leon Spence, Wednesday 8 October 2025 at 08:13

For anyone interested in Twentieth Century politics this week's episode of The Rest Is History podcast is a great listen, focussing on the fiercely intelligent Enoch Powell, his impressive early life and eventual march to the right on issues of race (whilst maintaining some remarkably enlightened views - for his time - on other social issues).

It's safe to say that irrespective of policy positions Powell was also wildly ambitious, for many years coveting the top job of Leader of the Conservative Party.

Enoch Powell and Robert Jenrick

Not only is this week's episode interesting, it is also timely for it was released just one day before The Guardian chose to run an expose on the allegedly racist views of another politician seemingly aiming for the top job in the Conservative Party by running to the right on issues of immigration, this time Robert Jenrick.

In their story the newspaper have managed to secure a recording of Mr Jenrick speaking to a Conservative association dinner in the West Midlands with the politician making observations of a brief period of time spent in the neighbourhood of Handsworth. (Coincidentally, at the time of his notorious 'Rivers of Blood' speech Powell was MP for nearby Wolverhampton with the speech itself being delivered in Birmingham. Something of a West Midlands theme?)

Mr Jenrick's comments themselves are not as openly incendiary as Powell's earlier words. Rather than talking of "whip hands" and "rivers of blood" the contemporary politician was recorded saying: "The other thing I noticed there was that it was one of the worst integrated places I've ever been to. In fact, in the hour and a half I was filming news there, I didn't see another white face." 

And whilst Mr Jenrick equated the area to being "a slum", in fairness to him he was not calling for any sort of repatriation but, instead, better integration. (Albeit, many would argue that Powell was never explicitly racist either but focussed heavily on the increasingly important issue of immigration.)

The truth is, however, that in years gone by, and not too many at that, (and perhaps with a leader more secure in their role) Mr Jenrick would have been summarily dismissed from the front bench after his comments were reported on. Remember, it is only 11 years since Labour's Emily Thornberry was dismissed from her shadow ministerial position for posting an implicitly disparaging tweet of an England flag during a by-election campaign.

Such has the rhetoric of politics changed that Mr Jenrick's comments were swiftly backed up by many in his party. The party that got rid of Enoch Powell is now actively considering a man with many parallels as leader.

One of the conclusions drawn by Messrs Sandbrook and Holland in this week's episode of their podcast is that, for all of his faults, Enoch Powell was one of the most consequential politicians of the twentieth century. The fact that we still talk about him now is testament to that.

It is entirely possible that Mr Jenrick will become leader of the Conservative Party, but will he become as historically consequential? 

Only time will tell. And I have a feeling there's a certain populist politician topping opinion polls that might have a difference of opinion in that regard.  

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Leon Spence

An illiberal democractic response to liberal democracy - in real time

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I wrote on this blog yesterday that populism can be defined as 'an illiberal democratic response to liberal democracy'.

In other words a key feature of populism is that it takes a view of democracy that the collective view of the majority can ride roughshod over the rights of the minority.

Liberal democracy believes that defending the rights of any minority is of paramount importance because at some stage the majority always ceases to be and the inevitable next step in those cases is for the governing to move seamlessly to totalitarianism. A process repeated many times throughout the twentieth century.

The reason I return to this concept today is that reading Kamala Harris' new book '107 Days', an account of her time as the Democrat 'top of the ticket' in last year's US election, she provides a perfect example of the populist notion of the majority riding roughshod over the rights of the minority.

107 Days by Kamala Harris

In her book Harris considers the rights of transgender people in America. She notes that in 2024 less than ten transgender people played on women's college sports team of a gender that they were not born into. She states that just two federal prisoners had received court-ordered gender-affirmation surgery, a 'sex change operation' in less inclusive language.

In the same year 350 transgender people were murdered in America, including 15 children.

Harris notes the electoral success of President Trump's campaign advertisement ran thousands of times during sports programming during the final days of the campaign: "Kamala is for they/them. President Trump is for you."

In some accounts that ad has been identified as a significant factor in the final outcome of the election.

In that very short summary we can see clearly the actions that accompany a populist rhetoric.

There is little doubt that the majority of people have concerns around the trans debate and the rules governing issues such as gender-affirmation surgery, self-identification and the protection of women only spaces, I shall be honest and admit that I do myself.

But in adopting a populist approach that sides with the commonly held view, the rhetoric and subsequent actions clearly seek to undermine the rights of the minority, a protection that liberal democracies should hold dear.

I don't use this blog to seek to persuade on one issue or another, but I do try and use it to inform.

The populism that we see increasing in popularity in opinion polls is one of 'an illiberal democratic response to liberal democracy'. It may be that, collectively, we are fine with that but we should understand the implications both to minorities now and, potentially, being mindful that one day we may be in the minority ourselves.

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Leon Spence

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Today The Times reports in detail on Sir Keir Starmer's plans for the introduction of Digital ID cards.

The Times headline on Digital ID

It’s a very simple fact that if we want more effective enforcement against wrongdoers then we have to be prepared to give a little something ourselves.
 
We shouldn’t have to have locks on our doors to protect our homes from burglars but we do because it is a sensible precaution.
 
The same goes for ID cards.
 
If we want to deter people from coming here illegally we have to make it harder for them when they get here.
 
It’s fine saying ‘well, give them ID cards’ the sad fact is you can’t prove a negative. If we don’t all have them what is their obvious answer when asked for theirs?
 
No one wants ID cards but then again none of us want the need for locks (or for that matter even the police).
 
But in a world that comes with threats, and a fast changing one too, sensible precautions are necessary.
 
ID cards are the future.
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Leon Spence

Join a political party

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I'm dropping my youngest son of at university this week so, as you may expect, there have been lots of 'advice' chats about the does and don'ts of university life.

Clearly there has been all the usual stuff: DO treat study like a professional job, work regular hours; Enjoy the social life but DON'T party too hard; DO keep fit, the 'Freshers 15' is a very real thing.

You know the routine?

But there's also the more esoteric advice, and this is just one example, but one that comes from the bottom of my heart (and years of experience), and it's not just one for politics students:

DO join a mainstream political party / politics society.

The History Of Political Party Logos And What They Really Mean

The reasons are varied, and most of them worthwhile:

  • At its best politics is about reasoned argument, it helps you develop your ideas and decide where you want to go in life.
  • Politics improves your employability skills, whether they are improving in public speaking or the project management of campaigning.
  • Politics helps to improve your personal network, the people you encounter early on keep popping up throughout your professional and personal life. So, it's always a good idea to be nice to them.
  • But, most of all, the significant majority of people involved in politics are worth knowing. They care about the issues affecting the world around them, which means they have already thought about them deeply, and they have chosen to positively make the world a better place by getting involved.

I'm really not bothered which party my son decides to join, we accept these days more than ever that personal views change based on experience and party affiliation isn't a lifelong commitment, and each party has its strengths (and weaknesses).

But people involved in politics are the ones who step up, they want to make a difference, they are among the connections and friends that you want to develop.

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Leon Spence

Instead of putting migrants in hotels should they be given a national insurance number and the right to work?

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It is, perhaps, the understatement of the year to say that immigration is one of the most talked about issues within the political sphere at the moment.

Let me be clear, I don’t for one second think immigration is THE most important issue. Not by a long way. Housing, the social care crisis, defence, pensions, affordability of healthcare, the threats and opportunities of AI and taxation all come well above immigration objectively, but I would be the first to accept that immigration influences all of them to some degree.

Similarly immigration is more than just illegal immigration. It must take into account skilled workers, their families, high net worth migrants and asylum seekers. All fall under the spectrum of immigration and all should be treated in their own ways.

But illegal immigration is an important issue, with small boat arrivals being the most visible, if not necessarily the greatest in number (it is relatively easy to count small boat arrivals, but not those arriving or overstaying using other irregular methods).

It is particularly noteworthy that the significant majority of those arriving in the UK on small boats originate from countries with authoritarian regimes or ravaged by war and this will obviously, and rightly, impact the categorisation of migrants arriving in this way with many having justifiable asylum claims to be processed.

We are a country that has always been rightly proud of our role in supporting refugees and we should continue to be.

But, that isn’t the point of this post.

I want to reflect on that category of migrants that some, including the populist right, want you to believe all small boat arrivals fall into. I’m writing about illegal, economic migrants (which, to be fair, some asylum seekers may fall into the category too).

I have long questioned what is the best way to deal with this category of migrant and have come to the conclusion, which I am more than willing to be argued out of, that we are dealing with this category in entirely the wrong manner.

In order to arrive at this conclusion we need to look at the facts:

  • If a young man, for this category is overwhelmingly young men, has left their home nation seeking a better life in Britain they have taken a hugely dangerous route. They have travelled through numerous countries and, often, across at least two seas in inflatable dinghies. They have faced a significant risk of death on multiple occasions and hostile authorities all for the promise of a better life. At a time when only 1 in 10 young Britons say they would be prepared to fight for their country, whether you agree with them or not, the bravery and desire of those ‘economic migrants’ in their determination to reach Britain really cannot be questioned.

  • The populist social media commentariat would have you believe that economic migrants are only coming to the UK for benefits. The truth, however, is that whilst there is no direct comparison provision for asylum seekers is not overwhelmingly better in Britain than other comparable western European nations. It is unlikely that benefits is a key driver, much more likely is the overwhelming use of a global known and accepted language, England’s historical tolerance of incomers (and in no small part a holdover of empire).

But, if it is true that a significant number of small boat migrants are arriving here for economic purposes then my genuine question is why don’t we let them work?

Instead of placing migrants in hotel accommodation for an indeterminate time would it be better to provide hostel accommodation for a short term, fixed, period? A national insurance number with fixed term limitations on what can be claimed? And, perhaps, the offer of a ticket back to their home country if things don’t work out?

If these ‘economic migrants’ really are here in search of a better life, isn’t it more English to give them that chance?

And if they are working legally, paying tax and national insurance, they would become net contributors. At a time when the tax base needs increasing then they would contribute to doing so without drawing on the sizeable budgets currently needed to manage small boat arrivals.

And if it were true, as some would have you believe, that they are here for an ‘easy’ life (instead of fleeing from hostile governments to save their lives) then the sink or swim necessity of work would soon ensure the departure of those who really don’t want the hard graft.

Let us be very honest. If it is just about economic migration (which I don’t believe to be the case) then Britain could do an awful lot worse than having eloquent migrants such as this man interviewed at an Epping hotel in the workforce.

I don’t think that I have ever knowingly agreed with a Green Party policy in my life but a couple of days ago I saw the following post on X (as part of the party’s wider policy towards refugees):

The party has a serious point, whether they are approaching it from the same perspective as me I do not know, but public spending needs reducing, productivity needs improving, as a country we must continue to welcome immigrants who can make a productive contribution, and to deter those who wish to rely on the state.

What’s more it is an approach that has been adopted in other countries, admittedly with varying degrees of success.

I may be wrong but would suggest that there is a serious debate to be had based not on fear but rationality.

It is easy to arrive at a populist approach, but is it the right one? It’s time for a serious debate on whether irregular economic migrants should be given the right to work.

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Leon Spence

We may demand a right to fly flags, but it's not English

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This week social media has been awash with calls to ‘fly our flags’.

It’s not St George’s day, it’s not our annual commemoration to remembrance, it’s August - the traditional political silly season - and it appears to be an issue that has been jumped on because ‘we’ are in danger of England being stolen from us.

This round of protest appears to have stemmed from media reports of council workers being ordered to tear down St George’s flags, flying from lampposts whilst leaving semi-official Palestinian flags in place.

This round of protests, dubbed ‘Operation Raise the Colours’ has gathered support, resulted in the painting of the cross of St George on roundabouts, and has, of course, led to comment and support of politicians courting the populist vote.

But, my question is simpler.

Is it English?

Doesn’t all of this protest about the right to fly flags wherever and whenever misunderstand the concept of England and what Englishness is?

Is it the case that a political movement seemingly wedded to recapturing the past ‘glories’ of Empire fundamentally fails to get what it was that made our country so English?

It is a round of protests that has caused me to revisit Sir Roger Scruton’s tribute ‘England:An Elegy’, a thoughtful consideration of what England and being English means.

In his first chapter Sir Roger highlights the work of another author capturing the spirit of England with a list of tableaux, George Orwell:

“The clatter of clogs in the Lancashire mill towns, the too-and-fro of the lorries on the Great North Road, the queues outside the Labour Exchanges, the rattle of pintables in the Soho pubs, the old maids biking to Holy Communion through the mists of the autumn morning - all these are not only fragments, but characteristic fragments, of the English scene.”

Each fragment is of an England long since disappeared, and never to return, but can we honestly suggest it is an evocation of an England that would have demanded the right to fly flags whenver we choose?

Was Orwell writing of an England comfortable with mass flag flying, or would he have seen it as a form a patriotism more aligned to 1930’s Germany?

For Orwell, was the ritualised flying of flags ‘English’?

In his elegy of England (an elegy being ‘a poem of serious reflection, typically a lament for the dead’) Scruton too contemplates what Englishness means.

He reflects that nations are “imagined communities”. They may be defined by a physical border but “seldom if ever do they arise from a common stock or a web of kinship”.

He too, like Orwell, looks to define Englishness not as a flag but as characteristics almost undefinable but, being English, we know what they are when we see and feel them.

Sir Roger comments that we are a nation that for hundreds of years, unlike other nations, did not have laws imposed on us but a common law that we all understood to be just and inherent to our nature, and which judges were able to determine based on precedence. Can you imagine populists espousing an ‘Englishness’ being inextricably linked with what they would now term ‘activist judges’? Of course not.

Scruton writes that Englishness was a sense of belonging, a nation of ‘rituals, uniforms, precedents and offices’, a nation made up of WIs, cricket clubs, trade unions, chapels and public schools.

He writes “The game of cricket was the eloquent symbol of this experience of membership: originally a village institution, which recruited villagers to a common loyalty, it displayed the reticent and understated character of the English ideal: white flannels too clean and pure to suggest physical exertion, long moments of silence and stillness, stifled murmurs of emotion should anything out of the ordinary occur and the occasional burst of subdued applause.”

Taking those characteristics into account can there be anything less English than demanding the right to fly flags?

But isn’t that the most obvious reason why such a demand simply isn’t English?

Scruton writes “England, I was taught, preferred duties to rights, and quiet cooperation to the obstinate demands of idleness.”

England and Englishness is, or was, as much about the duties that we owe to our nation as the rights we demand of it.

And, potentially, that is why Scruton’s book is an elegy, it describes an England that is dead: “it is only at the end of things that we begin to understand them”.

How many of those demanding the right to fly flags understand the duties of what Englishness means?

How many give time to support clubs in their community? How many are volunteer school governors? How many s do the shopping for elderly neighbours up the road? How many are trade unionists?

My guess would be relatively few because whilst at least, in part, our ways of life have changed so too have our values.

How many scoffed at David Cameron’s ‘Big Society’, but it was undoubtedly, more English than a right to fly lags from a lamp post ever can be.

The demand to fly flags might be a right, but is it ‘English’?

I don’t think so.

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Leon Spence

In politics always look for what is missing

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I had completely forgotten about this until a memory popped up on another social media platform, but 8 years ago today - when I was writing a weekly politics for a national Catholic newspaper - I questioned what the then Labour opposition's plans were for faith based schools?


The current Government is, of course, not led by Jeremy Corbyn but by a much more pragmatic, left of centre administration, but there are still many Labour members ideologically opposed to educational choice whether that is about state funded faith schools or independent schools.

The reason I'm posting this memory is not just to highlight the precedent of ideological opposition to educational choice on the left of the political spectrum but to remind that manifestos - for all parties - are as much about what they do not say as what they do.

In 2017 Labour did not say what they planned for faith based schools and, some would say, fortunately, we never got to find out.

In 2024 the Labour manifesto said it would not raise taxes on working people, notably income tax, national insurance and VAT but omitted to say thy would increase rates on employer's contributions for NI.

It's likely to be four years until the next General Election but in some respects that is not a long time, and this week opposition parties have been laying out some of their plans when it comes to welfare and so it is pertinent to raise the point again now.

When the time comes and manifestos are published we all need to be vigilant about what they do not say, it's often in those missing words that the harshest impacts are hidden.

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Leon Spence

Badenoch or Jenrick - there are choppy waters ahead

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Today saw the final round of voting amongst MPs in the Conservative leadership election, and in something of a shock result yesterday's first placed leader, James Cleverly, slipped into third place and was eliminated from the contest.

The final results were:

- Kemi Badenoch - 42 votes

- James Cleverly 37 votes

- Robert Jenrick - 41 votes

There's already rumours that a vote lending operation from Cleverly to Jenrick went wrong, but we will never know if that is true or not.

But what we do know without doubt is that Badenoch and Jenrick in getting 42 and 41 votes respectively only managed to secure around one third each of the votes of Conservative MPs. That is a similar amount to the proportion earned by Liz Truss in 2022.

And whilst it is significantly more than the 16% of available votes secured by Jeremy Corbyn in the Labour leadership election of 2015 (albeit under a very different process) it does point towards troubled waters ahead for whoever wins the Conservative contest.

For the leadership of any party (or any organisation for that matter) it is vitally important that the boss has the support of the majority of people who work closest with them.

In 2015 Jeremy Corbyn didn't have the support of his fellow Labour MPs, in 2022 Liz Truss fell short of majority support of her colleagues by some way. 

Whatever happens now to Kemi Badenoch or Rob Jenrick they will be starting their stint of leadership knowing that two thirds of their closest colleagues didn't support them, and in the very near future they are likely to be more than happy to let journalists know that was the case.

Inevitably there are choppy waters ahead in the Conservative Party leadership - probably long before the next General Election.

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Leon Spence

The Chagos Islands - it really is OK not to have an opinion

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I've worked in parliament and public affairs for many years now. I like to think I am not particularly ignorant when it comes political matters. But I don't claim to be an expert either (except on the topics where I am) there are many people in Westminster far more qualified than me.

But my point is this. I would assert - with a great deal of justification - that I know how politics works more than most people. In fact, I would go as far as to assert more than the overwhelming majority of people.

So when I say that up to a few days ago I only had a passing knowledge of the Chagos Islands, I mean that I have no expertise at all. I'm sure I'm not alone in getting Diego Garcia mixed up with Carmen Sandiego. That's the level of knowledge I have.

But even with that admission I would go as far as to say my knowledge goes more than most people who are now offering a view on the future of the Chagos Islands, and the Government's supposed treachery in making arrangements for their transfer to the Government of Mauritius.

There are so many issues where Government actions are so complex that we can't offer a constructive, or even knowledgeable, viewpoint. But it doesn't stop countless accounts on social media giving theirs.

It seems to me that solving a diplomatic issue and guaranteeing the islands as an airbase for the next 100 years seems quite sensible step to take. After all it appears to allow the return of Chagossian natives and makes provision for a base until a time when bases are, potentially, no longer needed.

But I don't really know.

And the chances are, neither do you.

Those of us that are interested in politics don't have to have an opinion about everything.

Sometimes, especially when it comes to international diplomacy, it's OK to say that.

It really is OK not to have an opinion.  

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Leon Spence

Passing the Sunday lunch test

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Edited by Leon Spence, Monday 7 October 2024 at 09:12

With the final parliamentary rounds of the Conservative leadership election getting under way this week it was interesting to listen to Beth Rigby's Electoral Dysfunction podcast reflecting on last week's Tory party conference.

Former Labour MP Harriet Harman suggested that this interminably long recruitment process had become something of a beauty contest and that it was important that the remaining candidates go away to think about what it is they stand for.

Of course, Ms Harman is right, ideology is important for any candidate. Where do they stand on the economy? On immigration? Where are they on the political spectrum?

But ideology isn't the beginning and end.

How you look and how you communicate is just as important when it comes to being entrusted by the public with political power. You may have the best set of principles in the world (or to counter that, truely hateful ones) but you will never gain office if you do not communicate them in a way that resonates with a sizeable portion of the electorate.

Take this year's general election as an example. Few people would understand the intricacies of Sir Keir Starmer's personal ideology but in the years that preceded him entering office - and the short campaign itself - he communicated an approach of dignity and service (albeit, arguably, that approach may have crumbled fairly quickly).

There is much that can be said in another post about governments losing power, rather than oppositions winning it, but broadly in July enough of the electorate saw Sir Keir as a decent, competent pair of hands.

It can be argued that this year's Labour manifesto was the thinnest in history in terms of policy platform, it wasn't an epic ideological tome - what you may expect from a party that has been out of power for a decade and a half - but rather a document that in four or five years time cannot be held by Labour's opponents as some sort of 'sausage to fortune' scenario. (See what I did there?)

The Times last week reported on comments made by Baroness Morgan of Cotes that the next Labour leader must appeal to people from "Cheltenham High Street to Loughborough Market". She said when it comes to finding the best leadership candidate she has a "Sunday lunch test... If the new leader turned up in your house for Sunday lunch could you ask them to open a bottle of wine and serve the guest and chat to people?"

I've always followed a similar rule when voting for leadership candidates- and yes, I do have a vote in the Conservative contest. Would I be happy to have a pint at the pub with them?

Invariably most successful Prime Ministers have always passed those tests whether it was Margaret Thatcher, Tony Blair or David Cameron. Your backgrounds may differ but you wouldn't be stuck for conversation - it's the chat not the alcohol that is important, you see? 

Even those most divisive of politicians Nigel Farage, Boris Johnson or Dennis Skinner pass the test. You may disagree with them, but they have a depth more than just ideology.

So my advice for the next Conservative leader (or any politician) is yes, understand your ideology but remember it counts for nothing if your potential voters cannot empathise with you.

In the real world of politics what you look like and what you sound like are ust as important as your views on Adam Smith.


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