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Tma 3 score

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So i got 81% for tma 3.

That is my best score, so far this module.

Happy days 

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Hitting 70,000

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Well, my view counter hit 70,000. Which is fantastic.

Thank you everyone.

Well Tma 3 is done.

Thats 57% of the module done.

So i have turned the corner and have moved onto book 2. So macro economics are behind me, now onto micro economics.

It's all downhill from here.

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Been busy

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Not many posts from me this week.

I have been busy writing my tma 03.

Tma 03 requires a post on the tutor group forum about an MPC decision, and requires my reply to another post plus a self reflection to score marks.

I put my post up 2 weeks ago, and responded to another post, to give everyone time to respond and get their own self reflections set up.

So far only 3 of us have bothered to do this, leaving another 12 students who think it is okay to leave it till the day the tma is due in, to post a comment, reply to a comment and write a shelf reflection about the comments on the forum.

That is bad form.

Permalink 1 comment (latest comment by Michael Brierley, Thursday, 14 Feb 2019, 09:49)
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the magic formula

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What is the magic formula.

6 months ago, after 3 years of blog posting, I had amassed 33,000 views.

Across the next six months it has doubled to 67,000 views.

I find it interesting, what is the critical mass required to suddenly kick start the increase in attention.

If I am being honest, I made less blog posts in the last 6 months than the 6 months before it, but the number of views has doubled despite fewer posts. That is very counter intuitive.

Do any of my fellow blog posters have a theory on when you reach the moment of critical mass with followers and views?


On another topic....

Well done to the OU for achieving it's 50th anniversary. We can only hope that despite falling student numbers, controversy over fee's, Brexit (everything gets blamed on Brexit), emergency vice chancellors and the Daily Mail's constant criticism, that the O.U survives to it's 75th Anniversary.

Permalink 1 comment (latest comment by Matt Hobbs, Wednesday, 30 Jan 2019, 17:28)
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Had a social media break

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Hi every one,

no blog posts from me for one month, January is social media break time in our house.

All five of us took a 30 day break from the social media throughout January. January is often the hardest month of peoples mental health, so getting through that is supported by staying away from the social media mire as well.

So I am back now, I am continuing to leave Facebook alone, I have a ration of 1 hour a month going forward, as time to spend on the facebook. I think I will do my one hour in a single hit, I might even let myself post a picture on my time line.

Study is drudging along, it is now Tma 3 time, so the inflation targeting model, the Phillips curve, the virtual Phillips curve and Bank of England MPC decisions. The biggest consideration is really how inflation and the monetary measures to control it will create a negative output gap. A negative output gap is a trite phrase... given a formula (Ye-Y1). Left of the Virtual Phillips Curve (VPC) reduces inflation.  Such a simple little phrase, Negative Output Gap... what it really means to most people is unemployment, struggling to pay bills, debt, harm to mental health and heartache. But that is not as catchy as negative Output Gap, so economists stick to N.O.G. 

So the Virtual Phillips Curve, is a thing to aspire to. Hit it and you should have full employment, 2% inflation and savings and investments in parity. Fall short of it and you have a falling rate of inflation, unemployment and a shrinking economy. Go over it and you will trigger an inflationary cycle, which unchecked will lead to hyper inflation. Which will lead to economic collapse unemployment, heart ache and suffering.

So unemployment occurs either side of the VPC, got to get the MPC decisions right, to hit the VPC.

Which brings me to wonder, in any financial cycle, how many economist's are unemployed?

anyway, whilst I was away the counter hit 67,000 views, which is amazing. thank you to everyone who takes the time to visit me blog.


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Getting ahead of the planner

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So i have kept going through the Christmas break.

I am now 2 weeks ahead of the study planner. Which is handy, time in hand is always useful.

Did anyone else keep going, or did you take a break,?

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Merry Christmas

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i will not be around tomorrow, so I want to take the opportunity today, to wish all my OU cohorts a happy Christmas and a peaceful new year.

hopefully 2019 will bring us all good grades and light at the end of our degree pathway tunnels.

It looks like my blog views will pass 60,000 by tomorrow, so thank you to everyone for that, I think 60,000 is an excellent achievement and I thank you all for taking the time to visit my blog.

I will be using the Christmas break to try and get ahead of the study planner, I usually do and in previous year it has given me some much needed breathing room leading up to the last section of the course.

So thank you for 2018 everyone and I will see you all in the new year,

Have a cool yule you all...

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I am so old

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It's my birthday today, my 52nd birthday.

I am so old.....

Looks like the views counter might hit 60,000 by Christmas day, that's a lovely birthday/christmas pressie.

Permalink 1 comment (latest comment by Richard Walker, Saturday, 5 Jan 2019, 00:18)
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Economics

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Wow, it gets harder every week!!!!

This week has been the Phillips curve and the Inflation curve.

Must not get confused by the fact that the IS and Phillips curves are not curves  just angled lines, in fact when output is in equilibrium with inflation, the Phillips curve is a straight vertical line.....

Simple really.

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losing a bet

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So lost a bet with youngest daughter....

so now, under duress, I must say..

One Instagram page that has really been inspiring me is:

mua.bryony.ells on Instagram.

They have a ironic and insightful make ups tips page (currently with 1300 followers)

Please feel free to follow them if you do instagram

Not really, but a bets a bet...

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tma 2 came back

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So I got the TMA 2 score back- 65%.

So I am averaging 60% so far for DD209.

I won't complain, it is a pass mark so far, considering how hard it is and how challenging fitting it all in is with working full time, I think I am at the limit of my abilities averaging 60%.

So no complaints from me, all is good.

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Thank you for viewing

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I should say thank you as well to everyone who visits my blog, it is much appreciated.

The view counter is bombing along now, just about to pass 59,000.

So by the end of the year, if not just before it should reach 60,000, which is fantastic, so thank you for everyone for that.

The number of views of my blog has taken on a whole new element for me,

If any of you have teenage daughters, then you might know how erm…….. 'challenging' they can be.

Teenage daughter is very proud of her Instagram account, because she has 5000 followers, any playful suggestion on my part that instagram is vapid or time wasting is met by distain from her. I am only able to maintain my authority over her at the moment by being able to put forward that my blog has 50,000 + views to her 5000.

This minor victory is maintaining my authority to berate her for being on Instagram when she should be doing homework.

#justaboutwinning....

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i can only say sorry

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Son #1 has just started University, doing Politics and international relations.

his first module on this course is... Philosophy...

He comes home and moans, it is useless, needless, ridiculous and many other negative impression's of studying Philosophy.

I try to be empathetic, understanding and helpful.

I has motivated me to come and blog this post, having listened to him moan about studying Philosophy,

I can only say sorry to all of you for moaning on here so much about studying Philosophy last year.

I now know you pain for having to listen to me banging on about it, in some form of karmic retribution, I now have to listen to son #1 bang on about it to me.

Thanks Karma... lesson learned.

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TMa 2

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I have been a bit quiet on the blog lately.

Thats because the workload for DD209 is really steep, and it is hard.

Plus TMA 2 is due in, so i have been busy writing that.

Nearly done now, 300 words to go, it is due in a couple of days, should be okay.

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Tutorials

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Well the first tutorial was good. Lots of people turned up, the most i have ever seen at a tutorial.

One thing that came out is that everyone is finding DD209 really hard. Hence the big turnout at the tutorial.

Lots of interesting content and helped my understanding a  great deal.

Glad i went.


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First tutorial (real life) of the year

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So tomorrow is the first face to face tutorial of the this year.

I always enjoy them. It is in Southampton, so only 20 miles away from home.

And a huge thank you to everyone who visits my blog... the counter passed 50,000. Very proud of that.

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Crikey 50,000 coming up

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Wow, the view counter passed 49,000, by the end of the week it will get to 50,000.

Thank you very much everyone.

Son #2 is an RAF Air Cadet, so this morning we all went down to Horndean village so he could march with his squadron in the remembrance parade.

My grandfather, George Gumbrell, served in the first world war. He was in the Royal Air Corp, which went on to become the RAF. George was a flight mechanic, keeping the engines running.

My grandfather survived the first world war, to old to serve in the second world war, he was in the Voluntary Corp, he drove all over Hampshire and West Sussex, delivering aircraft parts and ammunition for RAF bases, such as Tangmere.

Lest we forget.

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TMA score

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Well i got 60% for TMA 1, not a very inspiring start.

This is my last level 2 module, it does make me wonder how on earth i would cope with the final level 3 modules..

Chin up, keep battling on Michael.

Permalink 3 comments (latest comment by Michael Gumbrell, Saturday, 10 Nov 2018, 08:35)
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Careers week

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I have registered with the week long careers fair, which is running all this week.

When i get home tonight i can log in and see what is going on in there.. 

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DD209

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Just spent a couple of hours rereading week 4 of DD209. It is really challenging so far. There is alot to take in... including the algebra...

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Crikey... 46000

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Been a bit lazy with the blog, have not posted for a couple of weeks, been busy writing my TMA01.

Pop back on here to find the view counter has shot up by 6000 !. So now it is up to 46,000 views.

Thank you everyone.

Moved onto block 2 of DD209-economics... Keynes theories of unemployment... it is still really hard to get my head around, lots of reading and rereading required...

Just keep plugging away at it  thats all i can do.

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Cracking 40,000

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Wow. 40,000 views. 

Thank you everyone.

The online lecture was good last night.

Had a 1st stage phone interview for a new job today, but they cancelled last minute, so will be doing it tomorrow instead.

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Essay styles

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Last year A222 revealed that philosophy essays need to be written in a different format to other essays.

Having had a look at the first question for DD209 it would appear that economics essays also require a specific format.

So i booked on to the online tutorial this Tuesday so that i can get informed about what format i need to be using.


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That is alot of views

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And thank you to everyone who visits my blog of things..  the counter just clocked 39,000... which is fantastic.

The counter really bombs along now. 

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Access to the secret bickies...

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Well the book launch evening was fun.

Lots of interesting people went, being that we all volunteer for an online micro news site, that is the first time we have all been in the same room together. 

I was one of the two graphic satirists there, so it was great to meet the other one, Billy, so we were the niche corner, everyone else was a writer, poet or photographer. So Billy and i got to spend some time together and chat about what software and design programs we use to create our work.

Turns out the visual propaganda section from DD 103 might have inspired me more than i realised.

So got home, and Ros and Ella revealed the location of the secret biscuit stash.. it contains choccy diggies and coconut macaroons!!! What a result.

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